← AeXern | RDO Store Championship
Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at AeXern | RDO Store Championship
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-5-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.6%
avg ELO -1.1 per match
expected value
48.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1238
· median 1238
· range 1183–1292
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1065
Q1 1155
Q3 1277
1423
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Crux Assassin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.1% | -7.6 |
| Slimes | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.5 |
